A professor at the State University of New York, who developed an election model that has correctly picked every presidential election since 1912 has picked the winner for 2016 and it’s not close. The one election that his model misses was in 1960, the year the democrats committed massive voter fraud. Without that election, he had picked 25 out of 25 winners. He says Trump is a lock to win at 87-96% probability. Syracuse professor Helmut Norpoth has announced the results of his computer modeling.
I am now more confident than ever Trump will win this election. Indies and undecideds are clearly breaking for him. He is change candidate.
@mitchellvii http://www.syracuse.com/politics/index.ssf/2016/10/helmut_norpoth_donald_trump_victory.html … SUNY Professor “87-99%” Trump wins. His model correct in choosing winner back to 1912, minus 1960.
SUNY professor says Trump win at least 87 percent certain; other polls ‘bunk’
The professor doesn’t base his forecast on opinion polls.
Helmut Norpoth has been predicting a Trump victory since early this year. His model currently projects a win for the Republican with a certainty of 87 to 99 percent.
Norpoth is a professor at Stony Brook University on Long Island.
That flies in the face of just about every other major election forecast out there, which mostly give an edge to Democrat Hillary Clinton, notes the Daily Mail.
Norpoth wrote in The Hill that although the race looks decided, current polling methods are “bunk.”
The projections for Clinton are all based on opinion polls, which are flawed because they don’t reflect actions, Norpoth wrote. They’re about what voters think of Clinton or Trump, but they can’t tell us exactly how voters will act on those thoughts.
“It is ingrained in all of us that voting is civic duty,” he says. “So nearly all of us say, oh yes, I’ll vote, and then many will not follow through.”