• March 28, 2024

Trump And Hillary’s Plan To Steal Each Other’s Voters Is Backfiring

From the Republicans’ ‘Never Trump’ coalition to so-called ‘Reagan Democrats’, each party has potential vote-switchers to encourage the candidates.

Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton may want to steal each other’s supposed base of voters: the Democrats who found their candidate hard to love and the Republicans staring in disbelief that their party has elected a former reality TV star described as a racist by the 2012 nominee. But do either of them have a chance?

Trump has repeatedly expressed his belief that he can scramble the electoral map, winning so-called “Reagan Democrats” and a mix of white, working-class people and defectors from the camp of Bernie Sanders supporters, many of whom are against free trade deals and a “rigged” system. With these people, he argues, even staunchly liberal states like New York could be in play.

Clinton has meanwhile made cautious overtures to those same blue-collar voters and, especially, the working-class and suburban women won by Mitt Romney in 2012. Romney has emerged as one of the few Republicans to unequivocally reject Trump, and Clinton has turned toward others in his “Never Trump” coalition.

Polls show that neither candidate will have an easy time of it. Clinton would be the most disliked major party candidate in 40 years, were it not for Trump, who is the most disliked candidate in modern history. A new poll by Gallup, based on interviews with 11,600 Americans in May, shows which groups are beyond the candidate’s grasp and which might be most open to courtship.

Despite his many boasts, including “the Hispanics love me,” and “Look at my African American,” Trump has little love from non-white Americans. Only 11% of African Americans polled had a favorable view of Trump, compared with 69% who saw Clinton favorably. Fourteen percent of Hispanics saw Trump favorably, compared with 58% who were inclined to like Clinton. Similarly, LGBT people, unmarried women, and Muslim, Jewish and Asian Americans preferred Clinton to Trump by margins of more than 25 points.

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