It’s time for me to get bashed by Ted Cruz voters by injecting the truth into this year’s election. On April 19th any chance that Ted Cruz had of becoming president disappears forever. It is on that date that New Yorkers go to the polls and make it mathematically impossible for Ted Cruz to reach 1237 delegates for the convention. With that vote, Ted Cruz is officially eliminated from winning the republican nomination. It’s over, finished.
I have some friends pointing to the fact that Cruz is stealing delegates fro Trump. This is true, but how many. To date he has stolen 5. He is almost three hundred delegates behind Trump and it’s impossible for him to use tricks to gain the needed delegates. It’s ridiculous to even contemplate such a move. That means his only chance to win is in a brokered convention. The same brokered convention he said would cause a revolt when he believed he would overtake Trump’s lead in delegates and he would be the one leading going in.
From The Hill:
“Any time you hear someone talking about a brokered convention, it is the Washington establishment in a fevered frenzy, they are really frustrated because all their chosen candidates, their golden children, the voters keep rejecting.” Cruz said Friday at the Conservative Political Action Conference (CPAC).
“So they seize on this plan of a brokered convention, and the D.C. power brokers will drop someone in who is exactly to the liking of the Washington establishment. If that would happen, we would have a manifest revolt on our hands all across this country.”
In Cruz’s mind, there’s one way to beat Donald Trump: “with the voters.”
But now, Cruz favors a brokered convention and never talks about a revolt. Why is that? It’s because he was rejected by the voters and was trounced in the following primaries. Suddenly, the principled stand that Cruz once took is cast aside for the sake of ambition. But he is only deceiving himself. He can’t win a brokered convention. The establishment is using him to try to stop Donald Trump, but they have no interest in seeing Cruz gain the nomination. In their eyes, Trump and Cruz represents the end of their power and no force in Heaven nor Hell will prevent them from ending that.
The establishment will stand up with him through to the convention, but that’s where the partnership ends. A brokered convention ends with Paul Ryan as the republican nominee. After the first vote, the delegates all become free agents and the establishment will be in the driver’s seat. Marco Rubio is trying to keep the delegates he won in his column, an unprecedented move, thinking the establishment will support his candidacy. They won’t. They have already decided to pick Paul Ryan and nothing will change that. I know Ryan says he won’t accept, but this is the same Paul Ryan who said five times he would not accept the Speaker of the House job.
Now, I expect a lot of nastygrams from Cruz supporters, but if you are truly honest, both to me and yourselves, you know I am right. The establishment would rather lose with Ryan than win with Trump because they get to retain their power.