If you are following polls to gauge the success of 2016 GOP primary candidates, your head is probably spinning because either Trump is dominating the line up or you’re seeing wide fluctuations between two or three candidates. One thing is for sure. The mainstream media and the establishment Republicans are doing every thing possible to grind Cruz into the ground. It isn’t a stretch to say they are more afraid of Cruz than they are of Trump, so would it also not be a stretch to say they might be skewing the results to sway public opinion?
The Washington Examiner has Cruz in front in South Carolina, which is in heavy contrast to almost every other poll.
Texas Sen. Ted Cruz has surpassed Donald Trump for the top spot in a new national survey of the Republican presidential race from NBC News/Wall Street Journal.
Cruz leads the poll with the support of 28 percent of those surveyed, followed by Trump at 26 percent, Florida Sen. Marco Rubio at 17 percent, Ohio Gov. John Kasich at 11 percent, and Ben Carson at 10 percent.
Trump dropped seven percentage points since last month, and hit his lowest point in the NBC/WSJ poll since October 2015 when Carson took the top spot. Cruz and Kasich each gained eight percentage points since January, the largest improvement of any candidate, and received their highest level of support ever in the poll.
“When you see a number this different, it means you might be right on top of a shift in the campaign,” said Bill McInturff, who conducted the survey with a Democratic pollster on behalf of Hart Research Associates, to NBC. “What you don’t know yet is if the change is going to take place or if it is a momentary ‘pause’ before the numbers snap back into place.”
Former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush received the support of 4 percent of those surveyed, which falls within the poll’s 4.9-percentage point margin of error for the GOP primary voters it surveyed. His support failed to equal half of the support received by any other Republican candidate still running for the nation’s highest office.
The NBC/WSJ poll was conducted after Trump’s victory in the New Hampshire primary and after the South Carolina GOP presidential debate aired by CBS. The poll surveyed 400 Republican primary voters from February 14-16.
The new poll places the escalating Trump-Cruz feud in perspective, as Trump’s legal team formally served the Cruz campaign with a cease-and-desist letter on Wednesday pertaining to ads targeting Trump. Cruz’s legal team responded and the senator held a fiery press conference goading Trump to follow through on his threats.
South Carolina Republicans will cast their ballots on Saturday and Nevadans will caucus for the GOP on Tuesday.
Here’s something to keep in mind from The Conservative Treehouse. It is very possible that polls are absolutely being skewed to sway your opinion. Remember that most media outlets, even so called ‘conservative’ outlets are not without their own biases. And they certainly want to remain the “King-Makers” in all election cycles. Actually having a POTUS elected by the “people” puts them on the same playing field with the unwashed masses. Not a place they are comfortable being.
The team of NBC and Wall Street Journal (Rupert Murdoch owned) has struck again with their latest highly coordinated and heavily manufactured latest “Agenda Poll”. We have previously revealed NBC/WSJ’s prior two constructs HERE and HERE…
[AND now you know why we proactively do so.]
NBC’s Chief Pollster Propagandist, Mark Murray et al, is out with yet another ridiculous poll (exceptionally high Brian Williams as a verb factor). This time showing Donald Trump trailing Ted Cruz in an “explosive new development“…. Oh my.
However, this time it appears Murray has learned to insert an exit strategy to avoid the egg-face/embarrassing-sunlight factor of prior exhibitions. In a not-so-subtle veiled attempt to save face, they have written an excuse directly in the heart of their own polled results.
It really is funny to read:
[…] “So, one poll post-Saturday debate can only reflect there may have been a ‘pause’ as Republican voters take another look at Trump. This happened earlier this summer and he bounced back stronger. We will have to wait this time and see what voters decide.” (link)
Yes, that little disclaimer is more than a little humorous when you know the backstory.
What they are referencing (trying to save face upon) is NBC’s own prior agenda polling last year – hence the “earlier this summer” reference. When we called out pollster/promoter Mark Murray on the last one, he ran away for several weeks.
Remember, an “agenda poll” is not created to show a statistical snapshot of the presidential race. An “agenda poll” has nothing to do with the support. Agenda Polls are manufactured to create media talking points, to create media narratives.
Agenda polling is about setting out to make a story, to sell a specific narrative, by using polling as the means to justify the story you are selling. Nothing more, and nothing less.
In this NBC story, the Wall Street Journal, owned by Rupert Murdoch who is promoting Marco Rubio 24/7 in all his executive media decision-making, is merely trying to diminish candidate Donald Trump. They are trying to blunt momentum and block the inevitability factor, that’s all. Period.
The technique used is the same as all previous attempts and carried the same basic elements in delivery:
#1 – The polling sample size is heavily manipulated and intensely small. This “national poll” result is based on 400 contacts.
#2 – To hide what is transparent in #1, they do not reveal the polling methodology or internals. (Same as all prior agenda polling.) They hide the poll data – SEE HERE – You’ll immediately note how chopped up it is.
#3 – To protect their lack of integrity being fully dismissed they use multiple “disclaimers” (as noted above)
#4 – Agenda Pollsters have a history which evidences the first three elements. Meaning they are repeat offenders.
#5 – And lastly, yet again, an “agenda poll” doesn’t match anyone else’s polling, and it doesn’t even remotely pass the proverbial “sniff test”.
All five of the above factors are evident in all noted and previously explained agenda polling examples –SEE HERE– The purpose is to create a narrative for the media to sell – and you can expect to see almost all media jump into action to assist their corporate colleague.